A model from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration suggests this year’s El Nino weather pattern has peaked and will begin a steady decline in January. World Weather Incorporated Senior Meteorologist Drew Lerner said that should bring a more normal rainfall pattern to Brazil in mid-to-late January and continuing into February and March. Years with a strong El Nino that transition to more neutral conditions also tend to be drier in the spring and summer in the U.S. Cornbelt. There is the potential for dryness to return in the Northern Plains and Western Cornbelt in the spring and summer months. If a La Nina returns, these tendencies would increase, but Lerner said the confidence in that scenario is very low.
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